Friday, February 09, 2007

What A Friday...

What a Friday, it was suppose to be another amazing profit day but turns out to be the other way. From a flowing(unrealized) profit of USD 100 I can potentially make in an hour, I end up only making USD 2. I'm so damn frustrated with myself.

From Oanda, the funds that I withdraw yesterday was received in my local bank account when I checked it this morning. The service is fast and efficient. Oanda is just wonderful. At least now I can tell it to my clients that they can actually get money from Oanda and knowing that it's not a scam. Throughout my trading history, I've never made a withdrawal and this is only the first time. At least now I know it's working. But Oanda charges USD 40 for international withdrawal (outside US), so my USD 1000 become 960. This is the good part of story that I wished to share with you guys out there that questioned or might have this issue on mind with Oanda. Well issue solved.

For the 'great' Friday, due to my lack of funds, with only around USD 530 left, I made several trades today, I bought silver at multiple prices and added all of them together would be 1300 units. It's well over my 10% strategy. I studied the market strength and analyze it that today would be no weaker than yesterday and the bull will continue it's run. In an hour, my profit trades has reached USD 100. I was so confident that the strength will continue, I let my profits flow. Meanwhile, without observing the trades, I went out testing the Oanda PAMM module (the new Oanda Money Manager's platform, which enables trader to manage funds from several trading account.) and I didn't realise that there was a possibility of a market pulling down. Before I knew it, it came down so fast that I closed all my trades with only USD 2 profit. Just great. I was over-confident.

Silver market has reached a 2-month high since December 12 and the trade is starting to get tougher because as the price is too high, many investors and traders would be entering the trades carefully not wanting to be in a correction period which could possibly last for a month of 2. The correction period we're talking about is a big correction which could possibly cost 20000 to 30000 pips in less than a month. I definitely wouldn't want to be in it as even with my full flow of margin, I can't afford such a drop. So my trades from now has to be extra cautious. As prices of silver has continually rise up to such a high price in such a short time. I'm expecting a possible correction/retracement of around 2000 to 3000 pips to around 13.6500 - 13.7000 area. This is the best scenario that could ever possibly happen. If this doesn't happen, I would still continue to make trades at the high prices but I would limit my self on the aggressiveness to place trades.

Today's lesson is well paid for. From USD 100 to USD 2 in just a couple of seconds and withdrawal from trading accounts. Both of the problems are correlated with each other. I've learnt that insufficient funds that could possibly trigger a margin call in account has a role in mental psychology. If I haven't withdraw the funds that could possibly support the drop of even 5000 pips, I wouldn't have chickened out. It plays a mental strategy even with withdrawal of funds and how much you have in your balance. I did this as a mistake. The price is now back up at the level which I was making USD earlier... Damn... This lesson caused me USD 98.

Is there any advice that someone can provide me? I'm getting some hits from possible traders worldwide and I don't get any emails or reply or you guys. This blog has slowly beginning to lose it's meaning without you guys participating. I feel that a 2nd opinion would really help sometimes. Thanks.

Thursday, February 08, 2007

February's Mission Accomplished! Yay!!!

Should I say more? The retracement went as I expected, I took the trades and I took the profits. which brings another day of great profit of USD 112 , I've achieved my expecting monthly 20% target,which I've made 29.77% since Feb 1st and DEFINITELY over the overall profit since January 24, is now officially 53%.

I'm so so so happy!! Wondering if I would get paid by Oanda after all this winnings, I've decided to withdraw some money from my winning account. After I received the money, I will again credit my Oanda trading account with another USD 1000. I thought, it will at least confirm that I will received my winning money after all.

Back to the news, Russia's gold and foreign currency reserves were increased to $304.6 billion and the government at Ahmadabad
is contemplating to release 300 tonnes of silver for Gujarat. Lots of supporting news for commodities and makes another reason for everyone to purchase gold and silver.

Now that currently the silver price is now at the high price, I am looking to make another trade when prices of silver consolidates looking for a new buying opportunity. Does anyone have any ideas on the next best silver trade?

Email me: gohrayson@yahoo.com

Happy trading everyone.

Wednesday, February 07, 2007

Profits Are Rolling and Rolling and Rolling...

A great day of profit from yesterday's leftover trades. The silver market is losing steam over the short term, due to the high price since yesterday after silver almost reaching a high of 13.8500. Basically from what I can see from the market today, it's a NO-GO for the silver market anymore, it's losing momentum from the high prices it's reached yesterday and I personally will not trigger any more trades at this level, not until I see a decent retracement. I'm expecting a retracement of price until 13.5500 or slightly lower but nothing significant like 13.3000. If it really happens at 13.3000. Then get your trades ready and start buying like there's no tomorrow! Low prices will trigger investors and traders support in the commodity market. I'm very very sure of it. It's after all still within the commodity boom period. I'm still maintaining my forecast for silver to reach USD 14 by the end of February.

I closed all my trades today as a safety measure because I'm predicting that the market will have a small retracement on Thursday market. I've added another trade today after there were signs in silver market that shows one-last-ride before a retracement.

My trades are as below:

470 units of silver @13.5950
490 units of silver @ 13.7000

and additional 300 units of silver @ 13.6730 that were taken today

All of my trades were closed with profit totaling up to USD 64 (rounded down) today. As till the current date from January 24, 2007 with starting capital of USD 1000. I've made 41.8% profit which I think is a great result for my strategy in commodity trading. I'm expecting to make at least 50% overall profit by end of February and my aim is 75%.

Happy Trading Everyone and remember to email me or leave your comments if you like this blog. Thanks!!

Tuesday, February 06, 2007

Oil Price Up, So Does Silver & Gold.

Another bullish day for commodities! Way to go! BUT... unfortunately, I wasn't in the market this time. Due to my ignorant foolish mistake ( I shall not mention why, use your imagination.) , I didn't observe the market as I should and I missed the entry. So I missed this amazing opportunity to make another few extra bucks.

Oil prices has finally reached USD 60 per barrel due to the cold weather in the Eastern states of US and speculations that rebounding commodity prices and higher energy costs will boost the appeal of the precious metal as an inflation hedge.

Guess what? It's the Indian's wedding season! According to the norms of Indian wedding ceremony, the bride's family would send and deliver dowries (also known as
trousseau) which consists of money and gold. We're talking about largest gold importer in 2006 (I'm not sure about 2007), and trust me, Indians know their jewelery better than anyone else.

The spur in oil and gold has caused silver to reached a high since November 2006. I see another opportunity of possibility silver reaching 14.1000 before the end of February.

After studying the daily and hourly graph, I've currently placed trades at silver at various prices, some are taken... some are still waiting on the line.

Trades Taken
490 units of silver @ 13.7000
470 units of silver @ 13.5950

Trades Waiting
500 units of silver @ 13.4100

I'm studying the wave patterns and fundamentals of silver for the next coming weeks, and I see the direction is going upwards and cooler weather in US is likely to continue for the next coming few weeks and we're not gonna see any warmer weather anytime soon. Heating fuel supplies from inventories are growing smaller and I'm expecting that the demand for heating fuel will increase over time.

Plus, OPEC or also known as The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries pledged to trim production by 1.2 million barrels a day starting in November, and by another 500,000 barrels a day starting Feb. 1. The group wanted to bolster prices that had plunged from a record of $78.40 a barrel in New York on July 14. Oil price will be up, up, up and up. If it's going down for a day or 2 doesn't mean bearish sign. It's retracement and consolidating before moving upwards again.

Happy Trading!

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Monday, February 05, 2007

Great day, great profit. New Record!!

My money is coming from silver, Thanks alot silver . I'm almost reaching my 20% goal for month of February as the trades on a great Monday brings me 15.3% profit. This 15.3% is not calculated from my starting capital of USD 1000, it's calculated from the closing account for the month of January which totalled USD 1176 (rounded down) estimated around 17.6% for month of Jan. Therefore 15.3% means USD 180 from USD 1176 (rounded down minus daily interest rates).

Let's recap on what I've done.

Both of this trades has been held over the weekend, paying daily interest rates of USD 1.8 each for 2 days. Totaled USD 7.60. It's worth it though~

430 units of silver @ 13.3000
430 units of silver @ 13.4230

This trade is taken today during some minor retracement when I'm expecting the bullish moment is coming...

430 units of silver @ 13.3500

As far as this record progressed, I'm making profit almost everyday. I'm looking forward continue this way of trading until I make some serious money out of it.

For the next trade, I'm expecting a consolidation price around 13.5000 and before another bullish session, I'm looking to take another trade at 12.4000.

I like to keep my trading plan easy, simple and straight to the point and obviously this trading plan I designed is very suitable for me.

The purpose of this blog is for me to expose my experience and make friends with people from all over the world. If some of you don't mind, drop me an email~ gohrayson@yahoo.com

Happy trading!

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